Feb 28th, 2012
Mitt Romney may have won yesterday's contests but even one of the victories was something of an embarrassment. Having appealed to the basest anti-immigrant sentiments of the Arizona GOP and with the support of that state's large Mormon community, he won by a comfortable margin. It's the Michigan contest that has Republicans worried. He barely carried his home state.
Brian Montopoli observes:
"Sure, it wasn't exactly a convincing win. And certainly, there will be those who say the fact that he barely won the state where he was born (and where his father was a popular governor) despite significantly outspending his rivals shows that he is the flimsiest of frontrunners.
But so what? Mitt Romney just avoided what would have been a catastrophic defeat, and in doing so set himself on a course to beat back the latest anti-Romney candidate and ultimately secure the Republican nomination for president."
Thank God that we weren't completely humiliated can't exactly be an inspirational analysis for Romney's team.
Showing posts with label michigan primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label michigan primary. Show all posts
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
The GOP Primary Catastrophe
Labels: Liberal opinion, the hand that feeds you
arizona,
crazy talk,
frontrunner,
gop establishment,
gop extremism,
gop ineptitude,
gop lunacy,
GOP primary,
gop radicals,
michigan primary,
Mitt Romney
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Michigan Primary- A Dead Heat
Feb 28th, 2012
Last night, Nate Silver's projections in Michigan had Romney up ten points over Santorum.
Not anymore...
Last night, Nate Silver's projections in Michigan had Romney up ten points over Santorum.
Not anymore...
Labels: Liberal opinion, the hand that feeds you
2012 election,
GOP primary,
michigan primary,
Mitt Romney,
rick santorum
Monday, February 27, 2012
The Final Polls Before Michigan
Feb 27th, 2012
I stand my prediction that Romney will win tomorrow. However, the race with Santorum is very tight.
HuffPo rounds up the final polling:
"Three of the five surveys, by Rasmussen Reports, Public Policy Polling (PPP) and We Ask America, show Romney ahead of Santorum by two to four percentage points. The two others, an automated poll by Mitchell Research and the one live-interviewer survey by the American Research Group (ARG), show Santorum ahead of Romney by one to two percentage points. All five show Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich running far behind. All but the ARG poll were conducted using an automated, recorded voice over the telephone."
As I have previously stated, I just don't think the Michigan base is quite as reactionary as many of the other states. If Santorum does win this thing, though, we can expect a full-on collective panic from the GOP establishment.
I stand my prediction that Romney will win tomorrow. However, the race with Santorum is very tight.
HuffPo rounds up the final polling:
"Three of the five surveys, by Rasmussen Reports, Public Policy Polling (PPP) and We Ask America, show Romney ahead of Santorum by two to four percentage points. The two others, an automated poll by Mitchell Research and the one live-interviewer survey by the American Research Group (ARG), show Santorum ahead of Romney by one to two percentage points. All five show Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich running far behind. All but the ARG poll were conducted using an automated, recorded voice over the telephone."
As I have previously stated, I just don't think the Michigan base is quite as reactionary as many of the other states. If Santorum does win this thing, though, we can expect a full-on collective panic from the GOP establishment.
Labels: Liberal opinion, the hand that feeds you
final polls,
gop base,
gop establishment,
gop polling,
Michigan,
michigan primary,
Mitt Romney,
political poll,
rick santorum
The GOP's Continuing Problem With Facts - Auto Bailout Edition
Feb 26th, 2012
I am going state for the record that I think Romney will squeak through and take tomorrow's Michigan GOP primary. But, he certainly hasn't made his situation any easier.
The NY Times editorial board writes:
"Mitt Romney, along with the other Republican presidential candidates, has spent the days before the Michigan primary denouncing the bailout that has rescued his native state. Mr. Romney has been especially vociferous in his insistence that he would have allowed the carmakers to go bankrupt, and said he believes they could somehow have clawed their way back to profitability without a dollar of federal assistance.
“The president tells us that without his intervention things in Detroit would be worse,” he wrote recently in The Detroit News. “I believe that without his intervention things there would be better.”
This critique is detached from reality."
That's a pretty mild assessment.
Romney's double-down following the electorate having been reminded of his wildly wrong predictions from 2008 represents not 'detachment' from but, rather, contempt for reality.
The facts are available HERE in this brief by the non-partisan Center For Automotive Research. The NY Times (accurately) sums up their data as follows:
Rep. Gary Peters (D-MI) has some choice words for Mittens. After all, as he points out, he was there:
"While it is almost shocking that Romney would still cling to the notion that somehow he was right and Presidents Bush and Obama were wrong, by now I think most Americans understand that Mitt Romney is someone who will say anything to win an election.
In a traditional bankruptcy, a company has two options: it can either find an investor willing to loan it the money needed to restructure its debts and reorganize its business so that it can be profitable, or it can liquidate its assets and pay off its creditors. In late 2008 and early 2009 there were quite simply no private sector investors that would be willing to provide billions of dollars of what is known as "debtor in possession" financing to GM and Chrysler. In fact, in early 2009 I met with Bob Nardelli, who was at the time the Chairman and CEO of Chrysler, and he told me that if the government did not act as the "lender of last resort" the company was three weeks away from liquidation. General Motors, which was losing $1 billion per month as car sales plummeted at the height of the recession, ended up needing a $50 billion investment in order to restructure -- an inconceivable amount of money for anyone other than the government at that time. Liquidation of even one of the Big 3 automakers would have begun a chain reaction of job losses that would have put millions out of work."
I am going state for the record that I think Romney will squeak through and take tomorrow's Michigan GOP primary. But, he certainly hasn't made his situation any easier.
The NY Times editorial board writes:
"Mitt Romney, along with the other Republican presidential candidates, has spent the days before the Michigan primary denouncing the bailout that has rescued his native state. Mr. Romney has been especially vociferous in his insistence that he would have allowed the carmakers to go bankrupt, and said he believes they could somehow have clawed their way back to profitability without a dollar of federal assistance.
“The president tells us that without his intervention things in Detroit would be worse,” he wrote recently in The Detroit News. “I believe that without his intervention things there would be better.”
This critique is detached from reality."
That's a pretty mild assessment.
Romney's double-down following the electorate having been reminded of his wildly wrong predictions from 2008 represents not 'detachment' from but, rather, contempt for reality.
The facts are available HERE in this brief by the non-partisan Center For Automotive Research. The NY Times (accurately) sums up their data as follows:
"There are 1.45 million people who are working as a direct result of the $80 billion bailout"The problem is, the GOP literally doesn't care. So what if that's a fact? It's an inconvenient fact for them ideologically.
Rep. Gary Peters (D-MI) has some choice words for Mittens. After all, as he points out, he was there:
"While it is almost shocking that Romney would still cling to the notion that somehow he was right and Presidents Bush and Obama were wrong, by now I think most Americans understand that Mitt Romney is someone who will say anything to win an election.
In a traditional bankruptcy, a company has two options: it can either find an investor willing to loan it the money needed to restructure its debts and reorganize its business so that it can be profitable, or it can liquidate its assets and pay off its creditors. In late 2008 and early 2009 there were quite simply no private sector investors that would be willing to provide billions of dollars of what is known as "debtor in possession" financing to GM and Chrysler. In fact, in early 2009 I met with Bob Nardelli, who was at the time the Chairman and CEO of Chrysler, and he told me that if the government did not act as the "lender of last resort" the company was three weeks away from liquidation. General Motors, which was losing $1 billion per month as car sales plummeted at the height of the recession, ended up needing a $50 billion investment in order to restructure -- an inconceivable amount of money for anyone other than the government at that time. Liquidation of even one of the Big 3 automakers would have begun a chain reaction of job losses that would have put millions out of work."
If it weren't for the relatively less extreme nature of Michigan Republicans compared to their Southern counterparts, Mitt wouldn't stand a chance. As it is, he might still actually lose this thing.
And we know why.
And we know why.
Labels: Liberal opinion, the hand that feeds you
auto bailout,
cash for clunkers,
detroit bailout,
gop absurdity,
gop logic,
GOP primary,
Michigan,
michigan primary,
Mitt Romney
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