Please write and send praise, critique, interesting links or random musings to touchthehandthatfeedsyou@yahoo.com
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Quote Of The Day - Here and Now Edition

August 4th, 2011

"Imagine, if you will, someone who read only the Wall Street Journal editorial page between 2000 and 2011, and someone in the same period who read only the collected columns of Paul Krugman. 

Which reader would have been better informed about the realities of the current economic crisis? The answer, I think, should give us pause. Can it be that our enemies were right?"
-- David Frum continuing his retreat from the fringe and looking back over the last decade's misplaced economic priorities

Monday, August 1, 2011

J.P Morgan Said WHAT?

August 1st, 2011

Outside of knee-jerk radicals like Grover and Heritage and Cato, what problem do actual, on the ground and presumptively conservative financial organizations have with the debt deal? It might surprise you. One of the biggest failings in this hyper-partisan plan is...

no stimulative spending.

From the J.P. Morgan analysis

"4) Impending fiscal drag for 2012 remains intact. The deal does nothing to extend the various stimulus measure which will expire next year: we continue to believe federal fiscal policy will subtract around 1.5%-points from GDP growth in 2012. Its possible the fiscal commission could do something to extend some measure such as the one-year 2% payroll tax holiday, though we think unlikely, as it would need to be paid for, which would be tough. If anything, the debt deal may add modestly to the fiscal drag we have penciled in for next year." EMPHASIS OURS

Yup. Much the same point that economists such as Krugman, Stiglitz and Reich have been making. We are very much through the looking glass.

Friday, June 10, 2011

It Costs Us MORE To Pollute

Jun 10th, 2011

Imagine being able to prevent 300,000 American sick days annually. That is nearly 2 1/2 million hours of American labor. Think how much this costs in terms of productivity, strength and stability for everyone from the standalone shops to the large corporations. Now, imagine fighting not to do so.

As Republicans continue their campaign to gut the major EPA accomplishments and proposals of the Obama Administration, Isaac Shapiro has published a detailed cost-benefit analysis of these regulations. It is increasingly clear that the conservative position is not merely anti-science or even anti-health... it's bad for business.

From Shapiro's Economic Policy Institute paper:
"Two broad conclusions emerge from this analysis. First, the dollar value of the benefits of the major rules finalized or proposed by the EPA so far during the Obama administration exceeds the rules’ costs by an exceptionally wide margin. Health benefits in terms of lives saved and illnesses avoided will be enormous. Expressed in 2010 dollars:

The combined annual benefits from all final rules exceed their costs by $32 billion to $142 billion a year. The benefit/cost ratio ranges from 4-to-1 to 22-to-1.

The combined annual benefits from four proposed rules examined here exceed their costs by $160 billion to $440 billion a year. The benefit/cost ratio ranges from 12-to-1 to 32-to-1."


One dramatic section deals explicitly with the regulations proposed but not yet in place.
Click Image To Enlarge


In light of Rep. John Sullivan (R-OK) bringing the "TRAIN Act" to the floor of the house, the EPI numbers deserve some attention.